Friday, 17 October 2014

Burnley vs West Ham United

Saturday 18th October 2014
Turf Moor

Burnley vs West Ham United

After what feels like an eternity, the Premier League rolls back into action tomorrow as West Ham make the long trip to Lancashire.

This is the sort of game that will define our season. If we are really a team on the up, aiming towards the top 8, we should be beating this level of opposition comfortably. Lose it, and there will be some serious disappointment.

Key Player
In their opening 7 games, Burnley haven't really had a stand out player.

Jason Shackell has impressed a centre half, Tom Heaton has been kept busy, and Scott Arfield has probably been the stand out player in midfield, but nobody really stands out as having adapted particularly well to Premier League life.

Part of the reason the Clarets have struggled with their start has been the absence of key players Sam Vokes, and the returning Danny Ings. As a partnership, they terrorised the Championship last season, and are clearly a big part of Burnley's survival bid. And on Saturday, Ings returns.

The image below shows Ings' 21 goals scored in his 40 league appearances last season. As you can clearly see, whilst he is capable of scoring from anywhere, the bulk came from within the box and within the width of the goalposts.

Ings is a typical fox in the box sort of striker, quick in the first 10 yards, good movement off the last shoulder and a clinical finisher.

Last season, his performance against Millwall in February was rated by Squawka as his best performance. On the day, he completed just 15 passes with an overall success rate of 71%, he won neither of his 2 tackles, he made no interceptions and won just one of his five headed duels.

But what he did do is have 7 shots and score 2 goals.

The image below shows his heatmap from the game. As you can see, the 22 year old comes alive in the box, which is what makes him such a danger.

How to Stop Burnley
Burnley have failed to score in both of their last two home games, and have only scored three goals in seven games this season. They are not an attacking force, but they have had their moments and they do create some chances.

They tend to play with a flat midfield 4 which lends itself to exploiting the wings, and Burnley do try to make the most of their crossing opportunities.

When Sunderland held Burnley to a goalless draw last month, a lot of their defensive work came by defending the flanks properly.

The images below show Sunderland's attempted tackles (left) and the blocks they made (right). As you can see, a high volume of the tackles they put in came in wide areas, where they stopped the Burnley wingers and fullbacks from pushing forward. When they did get into decent opportunities, you can see that a large number of crosses and passes were blocked, particularly in their left fullback position.

Burnley may not be the most potent attacking force in the division, but defending their key attacking outlets is vital is we are to take three points home with us.

I've already spoken about it, but Burnley's main weakness is scoring goals. They defend well on the whole, they create shooting opportunities, and they play some decent stuff. What they don't do, is stick the ball in the net.

The chart below shows their shots and goals per game. As you can see, they create a decent amount of chances, but really struggle to convert.

Part of that problem has been down to a lack of quality up front. Sam Vokes has missed the whole season so far, whilst Danny Ings has been struggling fitness too. In their absence, the trio of Ashley Barnes, Marvin Sordell and Lukas Jutkiewicz just don't look like scoring goals.

The image below shows the shooting accuracy of the four forwards to have got any minutes for Burnley this season. As you can see, the four of them are missing the target far more than they are hitting it, and this is a major factor in their combined goals total of 0.

On paper, we are a better team than Burnley and should win. However, as I mentioned in opening, this is the sort of game that will give us a good indication of where we really are this season.

Teams near the bottom (as we were last season) shouldn't expect to win games away from home. Team pushing for the top 8 should expect to beat the teams at the bottom.

Come Saturday evening, we'll know a bit more...

 Head to Head 
40% Head to Head Win % 39%
32 Won 31
17 Drawn 17
31 Lost 32
139 Goals Scored 139
139 Goals Conceded 139

 Recent Form (excl. Friendlies) 
L D D D L D Last 6 L L D W L W
2 Goals Scored 10
7 Goals Conceded 8
W W L L D D Home/Away Form L L L W D L
4 Goals Scored 7
4 Goals Conceded 11
 Form Player (excl. GK) 
 (Last 6 League) 
Jason Shackell - Stewart Downing
6 Appearances 6
540 Minutes Played 540
171 Sum Squawka Performance Score 234
29 Average Squawka Performance Rating 39
216 Passes Attempted 256
178 Completed 213
82% Success Rate 83%
2 Chances Created 19
0 Assists 3
0 Attempts on Goal 4
0 On Target 3
0 Goals 1

0 Take Ons Attempted 9
0 Successful Take Ons 2
0% Success Rate 22%
7 Tackles Made 9
2 Successful Tackles 4
29% Success Rate 44%
5 Interceptions 4
69 Clearances 10
3 Blocks 0
13 Defensive Actions Per Game 2
31 Aerial Duels 2
20 Won 1
65% Success Rate 50%

0 Defensive Errors 0
0 Leading to a Goal 0
 Last Meeting 
24 March 2012
1-0 Marvin Bartley 25'
2-0 Martin Paterson 36'
2-1 Kevin Nolan 68'
2-2 James Tomkins 70'

4-4-2 Starting Formation 4-2-3-1

Lee Grant - Rob Green
Kieran Trippier - Joey O'Brien
Michael Duff - James Tomkins
David Edgar - Danny Collins
Ben Mee - George McCartney
Ross Wallace - Mark Noble
(81') Marvin Bartley - Gary O'Neil
Gavin McCann - Jack Collison (82')
Dean Marney - Kevin Nolan
(90') Martin Paterson - Matthew Taylor (46')
(86') Danny Ings - Carlton Cole (46')

Brian Jensen - Dan Potts
Steven Hewitt - Henri Lansbury
(86') Josh McQuoid - Sam Baldock (46')
(90') Junior Stanislas - Nicky Maynard (46')
(81') Charlie Austin - John Carew (82')

Burnley: Michael Keane, Steven Reid, Kieran Trippier, Nathaniel Chalobah, Dean Marney, David Jones, Matthew Taylor, Danny Ings, Sam Vokes
West Ham United: James Collins, Carl Jenkinson, Joey O'Brien, Guy Demel, Mark Noble, Cheikhou Kouyate, Ricardo Vaz Te, Andy Carroll

West Ham United: 

  Opposition Last Time Out (League)
vs Leicester City
 Goals Scored: 2
 Goals Conceded: 2
 Starting Formation: 4-4-1-1

  Tom Heaton

  Kieran Trippier (86')  Jason Shackell  Michael Duff  Ben Mee

  Michael Kightly (79')  Stephen Ward  Scott Arfield  George Boyd (67')

  Ashley Barnes

  Lukas Jutkiewicz

Matt Gilks
  Micheal Keane (86')
  Steven Hewitt
  Kevin Long
  Ross Wallace (79')
  Daniel Lafferty
  Marvin Sordell (67')
 Best Player: Ross Wallace(SR: 42)
 Worst Player: Kieran Trippier(SR: -40)
 Top 5's (Min 5 Apps) 
 Goals Scored 
Ross Wallace 1 - 4 Diafra Sakho
Michael Kightly 1 - 1 Morgan Amalfitano
Scott Arfield 1 - 1 Carlton Cole
  - 1 Mauro Zárate
  - 1 Enner Valencia

Matthew Taylor 1 - 3 Stewart Downing
Lukas Jutkiewicz 1 - 2 James Tomkins
                         - 1 Mauro Zárate
                      - 1 Mark Noble
                                 - 1 Cheikhou Kouyaté

 Passing Accuracy 
David Jones 86% - 87% Mark Noble
Dean Marney 83% - 86% Winston Reid
Jason Shackell 81% - 83% Stewart Downing
Scott Arfield 75% - 81% James Tomkins
Ben Mee 75% - 80% Cheikhou Kouyaté

 Chances Created per 90 
Ashley Barnes 2.14 - 2.72 Stewart Downing
Lukas Jutkiewicz 1.09 - 1.4 Mark Noble
Marvin Sordell 1.03 - 1.14 Aaron Cresswell
Kieran Trippier 1.01 - 0.5 Enner Valencia
Scott Arfield 1 - 0.43 Winston Reid

 Successful Dribbles per 90 
Scott Arfield 1.43 - 1.75 Enner Valencia
Kieran Trippier 0.72 - 1 Cheikhou Kouyaté
Dean Marney 0.6 - 0.95 Diafra Sakho
Ashley Barnes 0.43 - 0.8 Mark Noble
David Jones 0.4 - 0.43 Stewart Downing

 Tackles Won per 90 
Dean Marney 2.4 - 3 Cheikhou Kouyaté
Kieran Trippier 1.58 - 2.8 Mark Noble
Michael Duff 1.29 - 1.66 Diafra Sakho
Scott Arfield 1.29 - 0.86 Aaron Cresswell
Ben Mee 1.14 - 0.86 Winston Reid

 Aerial Duels Won per 90 
Lukas Jutkiewicz 6.55 - 3.5 James Tomkins
Ashley Barnes 3.43 - 3.29 Winston Reid
Jason Shackell 3.29 - 2.8 Cheikhou Kouyaté
Michael Duff 3.14 - 2.37 Diafra Sakho
Kieran Trippier 2.59 - 1.14 Aaron Cresswell

Sean Dyche - Sam Allardyce
26112 DOB 20016
43 Age 59
 Playing Career 
Chesterfield Main Club Bolton Wanderers
269 Appearances 231
9 Goals 24
7 Total Clubs 9
520 Appearances 512
13 Goals 43
England National Team England
0 Caps 0
 Managerial Career 
Watford First Managerial Role Preston North End
22/06/2011 Start Date 30/09/1992
3y 3m 26d Experience 22y 0m 17d
2 Sides Managed 7
0 League Titles 2
0 Cup Wins 0
40.1% Win % 39.7%
57 Won 352
47 Drawn 232
38 Lost 301
 Longest Role (excl. Current) 
Watford Club Bolton Wanderers
22/06/2011 Appointed 19/10/1999
03/07/2012 Left 29/04/2007
1y 0m 11d Time in Charge 7y 6m 9d

0 League Titles 0
0 Cup Wins 0
34.6% Win % 41.2%
17 Won 153
17 Drawn 104
15 Lost 114
 Current Club 
30/10/2012 Appointed 01/06/2011
1y 11m 17d Time in Charge 3y 4m 17d
0 League Titles 0
0 Cup Wins 0
43.0% Win % 39.5%
40 Won 57
30 Drawn 33
23 Lost 54

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